Oscars : Winner predictions

Though it is quite early, and it is almost a month before the Oscars, I will predict some of the winners :

Best Picture

• Will Win - Avatar
• Should Win - The Hurt Locker
• Also In the Race - Up in the Air, Inglorious Basterds, Precious : Based on the Novel 'Push'..
• Underdogs - The Blind Side, Up, A Serious Man, An Education, District 9

Best Director

• Will Win - Kathryn Bigelow (The Hurt Locker)
• Should Win - Kathryn Bigelow (The Hurt Locker)
• Also in the Race - James Cameron (Avatar)
• Underdogs - Quentin Tarantino (Inglorious Basterds), Jason Reitman (Up in the Air)

Best Original Screenplay

• Will Win - Mark Boal (The Hurt Locker)
• Should Win - Tom McCarthy, Bob Peterson and Pete Docter (Up)
• Also in the Race - Inglorious Basterds (Quentin Tarantino), A Serious Man (Ethan and Joel Coen)
• Underdog- Alessandro Camon and Oren Moverman (The Messenger)

Best Adapted Screenplay

• Will Win - Precious : Based on the Novel Push by Sapphire (Geoffrey Fletcher)
• Should Win - Precious : Based on the Novel Push by Sapphire (Geoffrey Fletcher)
• Also in the Race - An Education (Nick Hornby)
• Underdogs - In The Loop ( Jesse Armstrong, Simon Blackwell, Armando Ianucci and Tony Roche) and Up in the Air (Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner)

Best Animated Feature

• Will Win - Up
• Should Win - Up
• Also in the Race - Coraline, Fantastic Mr. Fox, The Princess and the Frog
• Underdogs - The Secret of Kells

Best Actor in a Leading Role

• Will Win - Jeff Bridges (A Crazy Heart)
• Should Win - Jeremy Renner (The Hurt Locker)
• Also in the Race - Collin Firth (A Single Man)
• Underdogs - Morgan Freeman (Invictus) and George Clooney (Up in the Air)

Best Actress in a Leading Role

• Will Win - Sandra Bullock (The Blind Side)
• Should Win - Carrey Mulligan (An Education) / Meryl Streep (Julie & Julia)
• Also in the Race - Gabourey Sidibe (Precious..)
• Underdogs - Helen Mirren (The Last Station)

Best Actor in a Supporting Role

• Will Win - Christopher Waltz (Inglorious Basterds)
• Should Win - Christopher Waltz (Inglorious Basterds)
• Also in the race - Matt Damon (Invictus), Christopher Plummer (The Last Station)
• Underdogs - Stanley Tucci (The Lovely Bones), Woody Harrelson (The Messenger)

Best Actress in a Supporting Role

• Will Win - Monique (Precious)
• Should Win - Monique (Precious)
• Also in the Race - Vera Farmiga, Anna Kendrick (Up in the Air)
• Underdogs - Penelope Cruz (Nine) and Maggie Gyllenhaal (Crazy Heart)

I will post rest of my predictions tomorrow.

Oscar Nominations announced, an analyze

Finally I will review Oscar nominations announced later this evening, and of-course I would compare it to my predictions.

Best Picture- I literally forgot to include 'Up' in my prediction list, whereas 'The Blind Side' is a rather big surprise here. All of my locks were included in the nominees lists, where as District 9 went on to be nominated which I included in Long Shot.

Best Director - Again, all locks went on to be nominated, Cameron and Lee Daniels got the shot from strong contenders.

Best Original Screenplay - I really screwed up this category. Only one nominee of my lock was nominated for it (i.e. The Hurt Locker), Away We Go didn't got nominated whereas District 9 got a chance in Adapted Screenplay (odd!)
Serious Man got a chance from strong contenders, where as The Messenger got long shot.
So, this is the first failure of my prediction.

Best Adapted Screenplay - Again, a pretty bad prediction by me, only Up in the Air and Precious got nominated from my locks, Invictus and Informant were not nominated.
An Eduction and In the Loop got the nod from strong contenders, and District 9 was nominated.
So, here comes failure number 2.

Best Actor in a Leading Role - A great prediction by me, all of locks were nominated and Jeremy Renner and Collin Firth got the nod from strong contenders.

Best Actress in a Leading Role - All of my locks were nominated and Helen Mirren and Sandra Bullock got nominated from strong contenders.

Best Actor in a Supporting Role - All of my locks were again nominated and Stanley Tucci and Woody Harrelson got nomination from strong contenders.

Best Actress in a Supporting Role - A great shock by Academy, Maggie Gyllenhaal got nominated for A Crazy Heart, which I didn't included in my predictions.
However, locks did got a nominations and Penelope Cruz got a nomination from strong contenders.

Best Animated Feature - Though all my locks got nominated, The Secret of Kells got a nomination, which I didn't included in my list.

Best Original Score- My locks were nominated, however, Macro Beltrami and Beck Sanders got a nod for The Hurt Locker and even Hans Zimmer got nominated for Shecklock Holmes, so there are two nominations which I got wrong, so I consider it failure no. 3
Alexandre Desplat is the only person who got nod from Strong Contenders.

Best Cinematography- All my locks went on to be nominated, and Half-Blood Prince got it from the my long shot list.

Best Production Design - AH, the Sherlock Holmes love is something which I don't get. Anyways, it was a bizzare prediction by me, only Avatar got nominated from my locks and only Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus got nominated from my whole list!
It was an epic failure no. 4

Best Visual Effects - All my locks were nominated and Star Trek got a nod from my strong contenders list.

Anyways, I predicted 13 Nominates out of only 4 went badly wrong. My success rate was 69%, then again, it is not pretty bad . :)

I will soon predict winners so keep checking!